Diagnosis path

01Market 02Sectors 03Financials 04Company 05Technicals 06Flows 07News 08Conclusion

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Technical signals, price anchors and four scenarios to frame risk and reward

Popular: AAPL NVDA TSLA MSFT AMZN GOOGL META AMD

Market Backdrop

Indices, volatility and sentiment

Neutral

Momentum45
52-wk position80
Volatility62
Sector breadth64
Stocks vs bonds0

Sentiment 0-100 blends S&P 500 momentum, 52-week position, VIX, sector breadth and stocks vs bonds; higher means more risk appetite.

S&P 500	7,529.21	+2.07%
Nasdaq	25,198.58	+2.52%
Dow Jones	52,164.45	+1.71%
Russell 2000	2,819.98	+2.39%
VIX	20.73	-19.14%
10Y Treasury	4.876	+0.35%

Percentages are today's moves. Lines show the last 40 sessions (about 2 months); green means up over that period, red means down.

Diagnostic view

All four major indices advanced, led by the Nasdaq (+2.39%) and Russell 2000 (+1.97%), with the S&P 500 at 7,515.81, below its 50-day average (7,676) but above the 200-day (7,328); RSI 44 and one-month return -3.8% indicate recent softness. VIX fell 16.01% to 21.53, still above its 50-day average of 17.1. The sentiment score is 49 (Neutral), with momentum 44, 52-week position 79, volatility 59, sector breadth 64, and stocks vs bonds 0, implying mixed risk appetite.

📌 Watch Tuesday’s CPI and Core CPI; forecasts are 0.3% and 0.2% m/m.

Sector Performance

11 sector ETFs across periods — click a header to sort

Sector	1D	1W	1M	3M	6M	YTD	1Y
Industrials XLI	+3.43%	-0.86%	-0.59%	-9.40%	-3.88%	+8.46%	+9.11%
Technology XLK	+3.30%	-2.32%	-14.39%	-8.55%	-4.33%	+18.20%	+15.16%
Consumer Discretionary XLY	+2.73%	+2.23%	+7.04%	+1.30%	+1.19%	+1.16%	+1.10%
Communication XLC	+2.28%	+6.90%	-2.90%	-3.68%	-7.27%	-8.95%	-5.38%
Materials XLB	+1.85%	-1.42%	+7.04%	-0.62%	+1.24%	+16.67%	+22.15%
Real Estate XLRE	+1.50%	+2.34%	+7.33%	+1.32%	+0.20%	+10.68%	+8.29%
Utilities XLU	+1.31%	+0.06%	+5.52%	+0.15%	-3.20%	+2.35%	-2.53%
Financials XLF	+1.15%	+0.44%	+5.64%	+0.03%	+12.96%	+5.56%	+9.15%
Health Care XLV	+1.06%	+1.17%	+9.34%	+11.16%	+30.56%	+20.65%	+26.81%
Energy XLE	+0.63%	-7.79%	-4.72%	+1.77%	+8.47%	+38.69%	+37.27%
Consumer Staples XLP	+0.13%	-0.70%	+8.11%	+6.50%	+8.19%	+16.11%	+18.01%

Diagnostic view

One-day leaders were Industrials (+3.0%), Technology and Consumer Discretionary (+2.8% each); Consumer Staples (+0.0%) and Energy (+0.1%) lagged. Over one week Communication (+6.8%) led while Energy (-8.2%) lagged; over one month Health Care (+9.1%), Consumer Staples (+8.0%), Real Estate (+7.2%) and Consumer Discretionary (+7.1%) led, Technology (-14.8%) lagged. Short- and medium-term leadership disagree, with recent strength in defensives and some cyclicals versus one-day growth rebound.

Source: SPDR sector ETF closes; 1D is today's change.

Apple Inc. AAPL

NasdaqGS · Technology · Consumer Electronics

$342.37 -1.80 (-0.52%) Report data as of 2026-11-07 05:31 MYT

Quant deep-dive Sample report

Mature Quality

Mature quality compounder with rich valuation, uptrend pause near resistance, balanced risks.

Valuation at 38.1x TTM P/E, 113% premium to peers, PEG 2.8x limits upside.
Technical uptrend with consolidation below 346.02 resistance, support at 336.85.
Analyst mean target 332.68 below price, consensus Buy but dispersion wide.

Why this type: Revenue +11.7%, net margin 27.6%, steady earner valued on quality and multiple

61ScorePositive

Market cap: $4.98T
P/E: 38.1x
52-wk range: 243.42 – 355.38
Beta: 1.09
Next earnings: 2027-01-29

Financials & Valuation

Analysed as "Mature Quality" with type-specific metrics vs the peer median

Metric	Value	Peer median	Read	Diagnostic view
Return on Equity	142.3%	44.2%	Strong	ROE 142.3% vs peer median 44.2%, over 3x peer, reflecting exceptional capital efficiency and high leverage.
FCF Yield	2.7%	2.8%	Neutral	FCF yield 2.7% vs peer 2.8%, in line; cash generation strong but valuation offsets.
P/E (TTM)	38.1x	27.7x	Rich	P/E TTM 38.1x vs peer 27.7x, 38% premium; market pays up for stability and brand.
Forward P/E	32.2x	15.1x	Rich	Forward P/E 32.2x vs peer 15.1x, more than double; growth expectations are modest.
Operating Margin	31.1%	54.3%	Neutral	Operating margin 31.1% vs peer 54.3%, lower due to hardware mix; still robust.
Net Margin	27.6%	42.9%	Neutral	Net margin 27.6% vs peer 42.9%, below but stable; services mix supports profitability.
Revenue Growth (YoY)	11.7%	85.5%	Weak	Revenue growth 11.7% vs peer 85.5%, far slower; mature scale limits expansion.
Earnings Growth (YoY)	14.1%	127.8%	Weak	EPS growth 14.1% vs peer 127.8%, modest but positive; buybacks aid per-share gains.
Debt/Equity	0.8x	0.2x	Elevated	Debt/equity 0.8x vs peer 0.2x, higher leverage; net cash -$37.76B indicates net debt.

Peers: NVDA · MSFT · AVGO · MU · AMD (largest in the same sector)

Revenue & net income, last 5 quarters

RevenueNet incomeOperating margin

EPS actual vs estimate

Quarter	Actual	Est.	Surprise
3Q2025	1.85	1.77	+4.5%
4Q2025	2.84	2.67	+6.3%
1Q2026	2.01	1.94	+3.5%
2Q2026	2.02	1.89	+6.7%
3Q2026	2.10	1.99	+5.8%

Consensus estimates

	EPS	EPS gr.	Rev gr.
This FY	9.50	+27.4%	+14.8%
Next FY	10.54	+12.1%	+8.1%

Earnings trend

Latest quarter (2026Q3) revenue +11.7% YoY to $114.48B, net income $30.71B. Gross margin dipped to 47.9% from 50.1% prior quarter, while operating margin fell to 31.1% from 32.6%, showing slight margin pressure.

Valuation

At 38.1x TTM and 32.2x forward P/E, AAPL trades at a 38% and 113% premium to peers respectively. PEG 2.8x vs 0.3x implies growth is not cheap; valuation relies on quality and capital returns.

Summary

AAPL is a mature quality compounder: ROE 142.3%, net margin 27.6%, FCF yield 2.7%. Growth is single-digit to low-double-digit, but margins are stable. Valuation is rich vs peers, justified by brand and ecosystem, yet PEG 2.8x suggests limited upside.

03.2

Price Anchors

Where the price sits vs support, averages, targets and peer value

Peer forward-P/E implied$160.66

52-week low$243.42

Low target$250.00

200-day MA$298.81

Support 2$325.57

Mean target$332.68

Support 1$336.85

Last price$342.37

Resistance 1$346.02

Resistance 2$351.73

52-week high$355.38

High target$405.00

Peer forward-P/E implied$160.66-53.1%

52-week low$243.42-28.9%

Lowest analyst target$250.00-27.0%

200-day MA$298.81-12.7%

Support 2$325.57-4.9%

Mean analyst target$332.68-2.8%

Support 1$336.85-1.6%

Last price$342.37—

Resistance 1$346.02+1.1%

Resistance 2$351.73+2.7%

52-week high$355.38+3.8%

Highest analyst target$405.00+18.3%

03.3

Wall Street Price Targets

12-month analyst price targets

Average target$332.68-2.8%

High$405.00

Low$250.00

Analysts39

ConsensusBuy

Strong Buy 6 Buy 18 Hold 14 Sell 3 Strong Sell 3

Diagnostic view

Mean target 332.68 is 2.8% below current price; median 340 is near price. High 405 and low 250 show wide dispersion (155-point spread), indicating divergent views. Consensus is Buy (rating 2.25 on 1-5 scale). The mean below price suggests analysts see limited near-term upside.

03.4

Rating & Target Changes

Recent broker actions

PT raised 10 PT cut 8 Upgrades 1 Downgrades 2 last 90 days

Date	Firm	Rating	Target
11-04	BernsteinMaintain	Buy	370→380
11-03	JP MorganMaintain	Overweight	360→355
11-03	UBSMaintain	Neutral	296→340
11-03	Argus ResearchMaintain	Buy	375→400
11-03	BarclaysMaintain	Underweight	245→261
11-03	TD CowenMaintain	Buy	400→390
11-03	DA DavidsonMaintain	Neutral	270→295
11-03	KeybancReiterate	Underweight	250
11-03	RosenblattMaintain	Neutral	303
11-03	BairdMaintain	Outperform	330→340
11-03	Morgan StanleyMaintain	Overweight	355→350
10-20	MoffettNathansonMaintain	Neutral	304→283
10-20	Loop CapitalDowngrade	Buy → Hold	370→330
10-12	JP MorganMaintain	Overweight	340→360

Diagnostic view

Over 90 days, 10 raises vs 8 lowers, net positive but modest. Recent changes (Nov 3-4) show mostly maintained ratings with mixed target adjustments: UBS raised target 296→340, Argus 375→400, while TD Cowen cut 400→390 and Morgan Stanley 355→350. Overall, targets are not chasing price aggressively; dispersion remains high.

03.5

Price Scenarios

Four scenarios grounded in fundamentals and technicals

Current$342.37

Price at report time

Bear case$325.57-4.9%

Close below 325.57 support, breaking 50-day MA.

Cautious case$336.85-1.6%

Pullback to 336.85 support, holding above 50-day.

Base case$346.02+1.1%

Break above 346.02 resistance, confirming uptrend continuation.

Bull case$355.38+3.8%

Break above 351.73 and 52-week high 355.38 on strong volume.

Diagnostic view

Scenarios map to technical levels: bear below 325.57, cautious at 336.85, base on break of 346.02, bull at 52-week high. Probability skewed to base given uptrend.

Company & Industry Position

Technology · Consumer Electronics

Position

Largest tech company at $4.98T market cap, ahead of NVDA ($4.51T) and MSFT ($3.94T). Business spans hardware (iPhone, Mac, iPad) and services; revenue growth 11.7% is far below NVDA's 105.9% but more diversified.

Advantages

Ecosystem lock-in across devices and services drives repeat purchases and high switching costs.
Brand strength and premium pricing sustain gross margin near 48-50% despite hardware competition.
Services revenue (App Store, AppleCare, payments) adds high-margin recurring income.

Key risks

Growth deceleration: revenue +11.7% vs peers growing 85-379%, indicating maturity and market saturation.
Valuation risk: forward P/E 32.2x vs 15.1x peer median, leaving little room for disappointment.
Net debt of -$37.76B and debt/equity 0.8x, higher than peers, could constrain buyback capacity.

Peer comparison

Company	Mkt cap	Rev gr.	Op margin	Fwd P/E	PS
AAPL Apple Inc.	$4.98T	+11.7%	31.1%	32.2x	10.4x
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation	$4.51T	+105.9%	66.2%	11.7x	14.9x
MSFT Microsoft Corporation	$3.94T	+18.8%	49.8%	21.9x	11.4x
AVGO Broadcom Inc.	$1.40T	+85.5%	54.3%	15.1x	15.7x
MU Micron Technology, Inc.	$780.68B	+379.3%	80.7%	3.3x	5.9x
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.	$736.46B	+44.7%	21.2%	26.5x	16.2x

Peer view

AAPL trades at a large premium to peers on P/E (38.1x vs 27.7x) but delivers superior ROE (142.3% vs 44.2%). Growth is far slower, so the premium must be justified by stability and capital returns.

Business description

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables, and accessories. The company offers iPhone, a line of smartphones; Mac, a line of personal computers; iPad, a line of multi-purpose tablets; and wearables, home, and accessories, including Apple Watch, AirPods, Beats products, Apple Vision Pro, Apple TV 4K, HomePod, and Apple HomeView, as well as Apple branded and third-party accessories. It also provides advertising services comprising third-party licensing arrangements and own advertising platforms; AppleCare and cloud services; and payment services, including Apple Card and Apple Pay. In addition, the company operates App Store that allow customers to discover and download applications and digital content, such as books, music, video, games, and podcasts. Further, it provides digital content through subscription-based services, including…

Technicals

Stage: uptrend consolid

MA20MA50MA200SupportResistance

MA20: 343.38
MA50: 336.01
MA200: 298.81
RSI(14): 51.5
MACD: -0.77
ATR(14): 9.02
3M vs S&P: +15.9%
1Y return: +26.7%

Resistance$346.02$351.73

Support$336.85$325.57

MA alignmentBullish stack

Bullish stack: price above 50/200-day MAs, near 20-day; uptrend intact.

vs 200-day MA+14.6%

Price is +14.6% above the 200-day MA, confirming long-term uptrend.

RSI(14)51.5

RSI 51.5 is neutral, no overbought/oversold pressure.

MACDNegative

MACD negative but histogram narrowing; momentum stabilizing.

Volume (5d/50d)1.53x

Volume 1.53x average indicates elevated trading interest.

vs S&P 500 (3M)+15.9%

Outperforming S&P 500 by +15.9% over 3 months; strong relative strength.

52-week range position88%

Trading at 88% of 52-week range, near highs but below resistance.

Technical view

Price at 342.37 sits just below the 20-day MA (343.38) and well above the 50-day (336.01) and 200-day (298.81) MAs, forming a bullish stack. RSI at 51.5 is neutral, MACD histogram is slightly negative (-0.77) but flattening. Volume is 1.53x the 50-day average, suggesting active participation. Relative strength vs S&P 500 is strong (+15.9% 3M). The stock is in an uptrend with a short-term pause near resistance.

Key levels

Immediate resistance at 346.02 then 351.73; a break above 346.02 would confirm continuation. Support at 336.85 (20-day area) and 325.57 (50-day). A close below 325.57 would weaken the uptrend.

Institutions & Flows

13F holdings, insider trades and short interest

Institutions adding,

Institutions66.6%

Holders7,742

Insiders1.65%

Short float0.91%

Days to cover3.5

Top 10 institutions (latest 13F)

Holder	% held	Q change	Value
Blackrock Inc.	8.00%	+1.6%	$398.18B
Vanguard Capital Management LLC	6.60%	+0.6%	$328.37B
State Street Corporation	4.23%	+2.1%	$210.60B
Geode Capital Management, LLC	2.56%	+0.7%	$127.13B
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC	2.30%	+0.8%	$114.39B
FMR, LLC	2.24%	+5.8%	$111.39B
Morgan Stanley	1.67%	-0.8%	$83.06B
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO	1.57%	-1.2%	$78.32B
Berkshire Hathaway, Inc	1.57%	0.0%	$78.03B
NORGES BANK	1.31%	-0.8%	$65.30B

Insider transactions

Date	Insider	Type	Shares	Value
2026-11-03	NEWSTEAD JENNIFEROfficer	Sale	2,399	$781.5K
2026-10-20	NEWSTEAD JENNIFEROfficer	Sale	2,399	$814.7K
2026-10-16	PAREKH KEVANChief Financial Officer	Sale	1,392	$480.3K
2026-10-16	BORDERS BENOfficer	Sale	1,280	$442.1K
2026-10-15	PAREKH KEVANChief Financial Officer	Other	10,926	—
2026-10-15	BORDERS BENOfficer	Other	1,714	—
2026-10-06	NEWSTEAD JENNIFERGeneral Counsel	Sale	2,399	$796.5K
2026-10-02	COOK TIMOTHY DOfficer and Director	Sale	191,753	$63.8M
2026-10-02	O'BRIEN DEIRDREOfficer	Sale	46,389	$15.5M
2026-10-02	TERNUS JOHNChief Executive Officer	Sale	25,412	$8.5M

Positioning

Institutional ownership is 66.6% with 7,742 holders. Top holders mostly increased stakes last quarter: Blackrock +1.6%, State Street +2.1%, FMR +5.8%, while Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan trimmed. Short interest is 0.91% of float, up from 0.89% prior month, days-to-cover 3.48. Overall positioning constructive but with modest short buildup.

Insiders

Insider activity shows 20 sells vs 12 buys in 6 months, net shares +255k (0.001% of float). Recent sales by CEO, CFO, and officers at $325-347 are routine/planned, not open-market buys. No insider buys in the list.

News & Events

Last 30 days of news and upcoming events

11-12 ThuEx-dividend date
01-29 FriQuarterly earnings release

Events

Ex-dividend date Nov 12, 2026; earnings Jan 29, 2027. Focus on AI spending trajectory, memory cost impact on margins, and iPhone demand sustainability.

Positive Dan Ives: “20% of the World” Will Access AI Through an Apple Device

Bullish AI reach via Apple ecosystem, supports long-term demand narrative.

TIKR · 2d ago
Neutral Apple Is “the Anti-AI Large Cap Tech Trade,” Says Josh Brown. Now It’s Capping AI Spending

Neutral; highlights Apple's cautious AI capex vs peers, may temper sentiment.

TIKR · 2d ago
Negative Apple Stocks Edge Lower as $7.5 Billion Bond Sale Prices Across Seven Tranches

Debt issuance may signal capital return or funding needs; slight negative price reaction.

GuruFocus.com · 2d ago
Neutral Stock Market Suffers Ugly Losses In Election Week; Apple, Palantir Led Key Earnings: Weekly Review

Market-wrap headline; no direct Apple-specific fundamental impact.

Investor's Business Daily · 2d ago
Positive Apple iPhone Wait Times Ease While Duo Availability Still in Late January, UBS Says

Easing wait times suggest improved supply/demand balance, positive for sales momentum.

MT Newswires · 3d ago
Negative Apple Is Reportedly Slashing AI Budgets. Here’s Why Employees Are Worried.

AI budget cuts could slow innovation, negative for long-term competitive positioning.

Entrepreneur · 3d ago
Negative Apple issues a grim warning as memory costs soar. It seems pricey iPhones and Macs are here to stay

Rising memory costs may pressure margins or lead to higher prices, negative near-term.

Digital Trends · 3d ago

News flow

News mix is balanced with positive AI reach and iPhone supply, but negative on AI budget cuts, bond sale, and memory cost warnings. Overall sentiment slightly cautious.

Conclusion

Cross-checking fundamentals, valuation, technicals and flows

AAPL's fundamentals remain solid: ROE 142.3%, net margin 27.6%, revenue +11.7% YoY, but margins dipped slightly. Valuation is demanding at 32.2x forward P/E vs 15.1x peer median, with PEG 2.8x implying limited upside. Technically, price is in an uptrend consolidation above 50-day MA, with resistance at 346.02. Upside drivers include ecosystem lock-in, services growth, and AI initiatives; downside risks include valuation compression, growth deceleration, and margin pressure from memory costs. Net positioning constructive but short interest rising.

Upside drivers

Ecosystem lock-in drives repeat purchases
Services high-margin recurring revenue
Strong ROE and brand premium

Downside risks

Forward P/E 32.2x vs peer 15.1x
Revenue growth 11.7% vs peers 85-379%
Net debt -$37.76B and debt/equity 0.8x

What to watch

Earnings Jan 29, 2027
AI spending trajectory
Memory cost impact on margins

Profile fit: Quality-focused long-term investors; growth investors may find valuation rich.

Generated automatically from public data for research only; not investment advice.

★

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