Market Backdrop
Indices, volatility and sentiment
- Momentum47
- 52-wk position82
- Volatility64
- Sector breadth64
- Stocks vs bonds0
Sentiment 0-100 blends S&P 500 momentum, 52-week position, VIX, sector breadth and stocks vs bonds; higher means more risk appetite.
| S&P 500 | 7,549.68 | +2.34% | |
| Nasdaq | 25,211.11 | +2.57% | |
| Dow Jones | 52,411.12 | +2.19% | |
| Russell 2000 | 2,835.30 | +2.95% | |
| VIX | 20.31 | -20.79% | |
| 10Y Treasury | 4.876 | +0.35% |
Percentages are today's moves. Lines show the last 40 sessions (about 2 months); green means up over that period, red means down.
All four major indices advanced, with the Russell 2000 leading, while the VIX fell 20.6% to 20.35 — still above its 17 fifty-day average. The S&P 500 sits below its 50-day (7,676) but above its 200-day (7,328) average, with RSI at 45.5 and a 3.4% one-month decline against a 10.2% year-to-date gain. Sentiment reads 51, Neutral: 52-week position (81), volatility (64) and sector breadth (64) are firm, momentum (46) soft, and stocks-versus-bonds at 0 amid a 4.878% 10-year yield.
📌 Tuesday's CPI and Core CPI prints (08:30 ET) after a 20% one-day VIX drop.
Sector Performance
11 sector ETFs across periods — click a header to sort
| Sector | 1D | 1W | 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industrials XLI | +3.90% | -0.41% | -0.14% | -8.99% | -3.44% | +8.95% | +9.60% |
| Technology XLK | +3.35% | -2.27% | -14.35% | -8.51% | -4.28% | +18.26% | +15.22% |
| Consumer Discretionary XLY | +3.12% | +2.62% | +7.44% | +1.69% | +1.57% | +1.54% | +1.48% |
| Materials XLB | +2.42% | -0.87% | +7.64% | -0.07% | +1.81% | +17.32% | +22.83% |
| Communication XLC | +2.23% | +6.85% | -2.94% | -3.72% | -7.31% | -9.00% | -5.43% |
| Health Care XLV | +2.05% | +2.16% | +10.41% | +12.25% | +31.85% | +21.83% | +28.05% |
| Real Estate XLRE | +2.00% | +2.84% | +7.86% | +1.81% | +0.70% | +11.23% | +8.83% |
| Utilities XLU | +1.91% | +0.65% | +6.15% | +0.74% | -2.63% | +2.96% | -1.95% |
| Financials XLF | +1.80% | +1.09% | +6.32% | +0.67% | +13.70% | +6.24% | +9.85% |
| Consumer Staples XLP | +0.95% | +0.12% | +9.00% | +7.38% | +9.08% | +17.07% | +18.98% |
| Energy XLE | +0.41% | -7.99% | -4.92% | +1.55% | +8.23% | +38.39% | +36.97% |
Over one day Industrials (+3.6%), Technology (+3.4%) and Consumer Discretionary (+3.0%) led; Consumer Staples (+0.6%) and Energy (+0.9%) lagged. One week and one month favour defensives: Health Care (+9.9% 1m), Staples (+8.6%), Real Estate (+7.6%), while Technology is -14.3% over the month and Energy -7.5% over the week. Short-term leadership is growth/cyclical, medium-term defensive — a divergence.
Source: SPDR sector ETF closes; 1D is today's change.
Strategy Inc MSTR
MSTR trades as a leveraged Bitcoin proxy; fundamentals weak, valuation stretched, technicals in downtrend, but consensus bullish.
- P/S 110x and EV/Revenue 138x imply valuation tied to Bitcoin holdings, not software operations.
- Net income swung from -$12.5B to +$19.5B on Bitcoin fair value changes; operating margin negative.
- Price below all key MAs, RSI 41.4, support at $123.33/$118.40; short interest fell to 7.2%.
- Mean analyst target $233.27 implies +80.9% upside; consensus strong buy with rating 1.25.
Why this type: Revenue growth negative, net income swings with Bitcoin price; earnings tied to crypto cycle, not software fundamentals.
- Market cap
- $54.57B
- P/E
- —
- 52-wk range
- 81.81 – 249.96
- Beta
- 3.61
- Next earnings
- —
Financials & Valuation
Analysed as "Cyclical" with type-specific metrics vs the peer median
| Metric | Value | Peer median | Read | Diagnostic view |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -2.5% | 10.8% | Weak | Revenue -2.5% YoY vs peer median +10.8%; software business shrinking, not a growth driver. |
| P/S (TTM) | 110.2x | 5.4x | Rich | P/S 110.2x vs peer 5.4x; market values Bitcoin holdings, not software revenue. |
| P/B | 1.0x | 8.1x | Cheap | P/B 1.0x vs peer 8.1x; near book value, reflecting Bitcoin asset backing rather than earnings power. |
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Wall Street Price Targets
12-month analyst price targets
Mean target $233.27, median $215, high $435, low $165. Current price $128.93 implies +80.9% upside to mean. Wide dispersion (high/low 2.6x) indicates high uncertainty; consensus strong buy with rating 1.25.
Rating & Target Changes
Recent broker actions
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Price Scenarios
Four scenarios grounded in fundamentals and technicals
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Company & Industry Position
Rank, advantages, risks and peer table
Technicals
Chart, averages, RSI, MACD, levels and signals
Institutions & Flows
Top 13F holders, insider trades, short interest
News & Events
News impact and upcoming catalysts
Conclusion
Drivers, risks and what to watch
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Big-Data Screener
Live results from market-wide screens — click a stock to diagnose
- WRBYWarby Parker Inc. 31.14+22.21%
- FRVOFervo Energy Company 10.93+21.05%
- QXOQXO, Inc. 13.95+20.68%
- COHRCoherent Corp. 227.92+18.20%
- TTDThe Trade Desk, Inc. 15.09+16.67%
- MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc. 1,364.77+14.64%
- NVDANVIDIA Corporation 176.29-5.55%
- INTCIntel Corporation 58.19+3.39%
- SPCXSpace Exploration Technologies 140.98+5.00%
- IRENIREN LIMITED 21.66+0.07%
- GRABGrab Holdings Limited 3.44+0.90%
- PLUGPlug Power, Inc. 1.49+2.76%
- NUNu Holdings Ltd. 12.27+2.00%
- MUMicron Technology, Inc. 728.63+5.60%
- SMCISuper Micro Computer, Inc. 29.02+0.89%
- HLHecla Mining Company 15.41+4.55%
- LYGLloyds Banking Group Plc 5.24+2.85%
- PATHUiPath, Inc. 12.94-0.50%
- NVDANVIDIA Corporation 176.29-5.55%
- GRABGrab Holdings Limited 3.44+0.90%
- MUMicron Technology, Inc. 728.63+5.60%
- AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc. 504.31+12.31%
- ORCLOracle Corporation 118.71+2.25%
- SMCISuper Micro Computer, Inc. 29.02+0.89%
- NUNu Holdings Ltd. 12.27+2.00%
- BBDBanco Bradesco Sa 2.63+3.35%
- CDECoeur Mining, Inc. 16.57+7.11%
- SMCISuper Micro Computer, Inc. 29.02+0.89%
- ITUBItau Unibanco Banco Holding SA 7.49+1.35%
- HLHecla Mining Company 15.41+4.55%
- DKIDarkIris Inc. 1.56+6.12%
- AIXIXIAO-I Corporation 2.41-3.60%
- WOLFWolfspeed, Inc. 25.91+8.91%
- ONDSOndas Inc 5.97+11.81%
- JZJianzhi Education Technology Gr 1.48+40.67%
- EOSEEos Energy Enterprises, Inc. 1.88+8.05%
Refreshed every 20 minutes; a screen hit is not a recommendation.
